It's
official: the world is getting darker. Scientists are
now agreed that as cloud cover and particles in the atmosphere
increase, the amount of radiation reaching us from the
Sun is falling. And while some are nervous to raise the
idea, they think the effect may help protect us from global
warming.
The phenomenon, called global dimming,
has been quietly discussed in scientific circles for the
past decade or so. Since the late 1950s, scientists have
observed a 2-4% reduction in the amount of solar radiation
reaching the Earth's surface, thought to be caused by
particles and clouds in the atmosphere scattering the
light.
But previous studies have been confined
to the Northern Hemisphere, so many scientists have questioned
whether this is a localized effect, or if it even exists
at all.
Advocates of the idea now have the evidence
they need to convince the sceptics. A presentation by
Australian scientists to the Joint Assembly of the American
and Canadian Geophysical Unions in Montreal on Monday
has shown that the effect is also found south of the equator.
Michael Roderick and Graham Farquhar from
the Australian University in Canberra found that evaporation
rates across Australia, measured using continually replenished
pans of water, have fallen significantly over the last
30 years, a sure sign that less direct sunlight is reaching
the surface. The decline matches the effect seen in the
northern hemisphere. "This proves that it is a global
phenomenon," says Roderick.
But he is not dismayed by the result.
He has recently advised the Australian government that
global dimming may not necessarily be a bad thing. "The
standard dogma is that Australia will dry out [with global
warming], but that's just not right. The world is actually
getting less arid," he insists.
In fact, Roderick sees global dimming
as part of a negative feedback loop working against global
warming. Burning fossil fuels not only increases carbon
dioxide levels in the atmosphere; it also pumps tiny particles
into the air. Meanwhile higher temperatures increase the
amount of cloud cover. The clouds and particles help to
block the Sun's rays, and the scattered light they allow
through actually boosts plants' absorption of carbon dioxide,
the principle greenhouse gas. This would help to keep
carbon dioxide levels stable, argues Roderick, protecting
the planet from runaway global warming
Plants on steroids
"Diffuse light is like putting plants
on steroids," Roderick explains. Scattered light
takes a zigzag path, bathing every part of a plant's leaves
in light instead of just one surface. Even if the overall
amount of light is lower, this can increase the plant's
rate of photosynthesis and more carbon dioxide is removed
from the atmosphere.
The only plants that might suffer are
those in Northern European greenhouses, because they are
so desperate for light that any reduction may affect their
growth.
This week's conference is the first time
that all the leading scientists in the field have met,
and it finally puts global dimming firmly on the research
map. But Shep Cohen from the Institute of Soil, Water
and Environmental Sciences, Bet Dagan, Israel, says that
some of his colleagues are still nervous talking about
the topic, in case it is seen as an excuse not to worry
about global warming.
However he points out that understanding
global dimming is essential for working out the best strategies
for tackling pollution and climate change. For example,
the half measure of filtering out particles while continuing
to pump carbon dioxide into the air could destabilise
the relationship between the two and increase global warming
even more, he warns.
|