(Moscow)
- Russia's nuclear forces reportedly are preparing their
largest maneuvers in two decades, an exercise involving
the test-firing of missiles and flights by dozens of
bombers in a massive simulation of an all-out nuclear
war.
President Vladimir Putin is expected
to personally oversee the maneuvers, which are
apparently aimed at demonstrating the revival of the
nation's military might and come ahead of Russian
elections in March.
The business newspaper Kommersant said
the exercise was set for mid-February and would closely
resemble a 1982 Soviet exercise dubbed the
"seven-hour nuclear war" that put the West on
edge.
Official comments on the upcoming
exercise have been sketchy. The chief of Russia's
Strategic Missile Forces, Col.-Gen. Nikolai Solovtsov,
was quoted by the Interfax-Military News Agency as
saying the planned maneuvers would involve several
launches of intercontinental ballistic missiles in
various regions of Russia, but he wouldn't give further
details.
A Defense Ministry spokesman refused
to comment on the reports. The Russian military
typically says little about upcoming exercises.
In Washington, the State Department
said it has seen reports that Russia has plans to
conduct the exercises in February. The department also
said Russia is obliged to notify the United States 24
hours before a missile test and has done so in the past.
Kommersant
said the maneuvers would involve Tu-160 strategic
bombers test-firing cruise missiles over the northern
Atlantic. Analysts describe such an exercise as an
imitation of a nuclear attack on the United States.
Other groups of bombers will fly over
Russia's Arctic regions and test-fire missiles at a
southern range near the Caspian Sea, the newspaper said.
As part of the exercise, the military
is planning to conduct several launches of
intercontinental ballistic missiles, including one from
a Russian nuclear submarine in the Barents Sea, the
Kommersant report said.
The military also plans to launch
military satellites from the Baikonur cosmodrome in
Kazakhstan and the Plesetsk launch pad in northern
Russia -- a simulation of the replacement of satellites
lost in action, Kommersant said.
Russia's system warning of an enemy
missile attack and a missile defense system protecting
Moscow will also be involved in the exercise, it added.
Pavel Felgenhauer, an independent
military analyst, said the military has regularly held
nuclear exercises that were timed to coincide with the
annual test-firing of aging Soviet-built missiles.
"It has been a routine affair,
but it can be expanded if they want a show," he
said.
Ivan Safranchuk, head of the Moscow
office of the Center for Defense Information, a
Washington-based think-tank, said the maneuvers would
further strengthen Putin's popularity ahead of the March
14 presidential election he is expected to win easily.
Putin has repeatedly pledged to
rebuild Russia's military might and restore pride to the
demoralized service. When he ran for his first term in
2000, he flew as a second pilot in a fighter jet and
later donned naval officer's garb on a visit to a
nuclear submarine -- images that played well with many
voters who are nostalgic for Soviet global power and
military prestige.
"This exercise will make a great
show, with Putin receiving reports from military
commanders," Safranchuk told The Associated Press.
Kommersant said Moscow had notified
Washington about the exercise, describing it as part of
efforts to fend off terror threats even though it
imitates the Cold War scenario of an all-out war.
"The exercise follows the old
scenario, and casting it as anti-terror is absurd,"
Safranchuk said.
Putin's support for the United States
following the Sept. 11, 2001 terror attacks bolstered
relations with Washington and helped broker a new
U.S.-Russian nuclear arms reduction deal and a
Russia-NATO partnership agreement in 2002.
But the U.S.-Russian honeymoon has
soured lately over Moscow's criticism of the war in Iraq
, U.S. concerns about authoritarian trends in the
Kremlin's domestic policy, and Russia's perceived
attempts to assert its
authority over ex-Soviet neighbors.
See
how the first tests went on February 17, 2004
©2004 Associated Press
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